| 董昱.我国天然橡胶市场2016年回顾与2017年展望[J].橡胶科技,2017,15(4):11-15. |
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| 我国天然橡胶市场2016年回顾与2017年展望 |
| Review of 2016 Natural Rubber Market in China and Prospects for 2017 |
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| DOI： |
| 中文关键词: 天然橡胶 市场 新增资源量 产量 进口量 重型卡车轮胎 |
| 英文关键词: natural rubber market new resources production import heavy truck tire |
| 基金项目: |
| 中图分类号:TQ332.1；F74 |
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| 摘要点击次数: 750 |
| 全文下载次数: 287 |
| 中文摘要: |
| 概述我国天然橡胶市场2016年状况及2017年走势。2016年我国天然橡胶累计新增资源量为328万t，同比下降7.8%，新增资源量走势由前几年的持续增长转为下降；天然橡胶累计产量为78万t，同比下降5%；进口量为250万t，同比下降8.6%；天然橡胶累计平均价格同比下降3.4%，降幅同比减小14.5%。2017年在国内基础建设投资仍有潜力、重型卡车轮胎绿色化发展、轮胎“双反”案中我方获胜、美联储加息预期以及天然橡胶供给趋于宽松等因素的影响下，天然橡胶价格有望继续回升，但涨幅有限。 |
| 英文摘要: |
| This paper summarizes the situation of China’s natural rubber market in 2016 and the trend of 2017.In 2016，the accumulated new resource of natural rubber in China was 3.28 million tons，which dropped by 7.8% from the previous year and it was the first time of drop in the past few years.The cumulative output in 2016 was 0.78 million tons，which was down by 5%.The import amount was 2.5 million tons，down by 8.6%.The cumulative average price of natural rubber dropped by 3.4%，but the decreasing amplitude was lowered by 14.5%.In 2017，natural rubber prices are expected to show a limited increase since the potential of domestic infrastructure investment is still high，the market of green truck tires is growing，US antidumping and countervailing duty investigations on tire imports from China are ended，US Federal Reserve interest rate is expected to increase，and natural rubber supply is increasing. |
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